I felt all along that Georgia’s reign atop college football polls would be as precarious as Chipper Jones’ batting average staying above .400.
Now, reality has set in. The Bulldogs, everyone’s choice as preseason No. 1, now are No. 3. Their ugly win against South Carolina, a perennial thorn in Georgia’s side, helped them slide another spot, though they remain undefeated. The Bulldogs had 11 penalties against the Gamecocks and got lucky by recovering a Mike Davis fumble, a potential game winner, in the end zone in the fourth quarter.
This shows the fallacy of preseason polls, and the BCS. Polls all are based on the season before. Georgia finished No. 2 in 2007 on the strength of beating Auburn, Florida and outmanned Hawaii late in the season. Also, the Bulldogs returned 17 starters from that team.
However, the BCS bases its selections somewhat on polls, which means a team (such as Georgia) could go unbeaten and still not get the shot at the so-called national title. That happened to Auburn in 2004.
Also, I felt the Bulldogs were somewhat overrated to begin with. Its key players, QB Matthew Stafford and RB Knowshon Moreno, are still underclassmen. The offensive and defensive lines already have lost their top players to injuries. And they have a brutal schedule, with back to back travel games with LSU and Florida and consecutive home games vs. Alabama and Tennessee. Not to mention Auburn away, and a Georgia Tech team that will be out to end a six-game losing streak to the Bulldogs.
I figure Georgia will lose at least two games (my choices: LSU and Auburn). But that number of losses did not prevent LSU from winning it all in 2007. It took luck. It always does.